With Apple due to report its earnings a week from today, Fortune has run its usual roundup on the numbers analysts are predicting.

The consensus among the 44 analysts we’ve heard from so far — 27 professionals and 17 amateurs — is unit sales of 55.3 million iPhones, up 16% from the same quarter last year.

It’s a near-certainty the numbers will be high … 

We already know that the iPhone 5s and 5c between them hit record sales in the opening weekend, so couple the popularity of the new handsets (well, the 5s at least) with the holiday season, and that’s going to add up to some serious numbers.

As usual, institutional analysts are more conservative while independents are more optimistic, but the gap between them this year has closed significantly. This time around, the pros average 54.1M, the indies 57.1M. Either forecast would be a record for Apple.

Consumer purchase data from CIRP also suggests the new iPads are doing well, with the iPad Air and Retina iPad Mini between them accounting for 57 percent of iPad sales despite the price premium over older models.

If you want to see how well specific analysts did in their estimates, keep Fortune‘s chart handy when Apple announces its numbers next Monday …


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Ben Lovejoy

Ben Lovejoy is a British technology writer and EU Editor for 9to5Mac. He’s known for his op-eds and diary pieces, exploring his experience of Apple products over time, for a more rounded review. He also writes fiction, with two technothriller novels, a couple of SF shorts and a rom-com!

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