With Apple due to report its earnings a week from today, Fortune has run its usual roundup on the numbers analysts are predicting.

The consensus among the 44 analysts we’ve heard from so far — 27 professionals and 17 amateurs — is unit sales of 55.3 million iPhones, up 16% from the same quarter last year.

It’s a near-certainty the numbers will be high … 

We already know that the iPhone 5s and 5c between them hit record sales in the opening weekend, so couple the popularity of the new handsets (well, the 5s at least) with the holiday season, and that’s going to add up to some serious numbers.

As usual, institutional analysts are more conservative while independents are more optimistic, but the gap between them this year has closed significantly. This time around, the pros average 54.1M, the indies 57.1M. Either forecast would be a record for Apple.

Consumer purchase data from CIRP also suggests the new iPads are doing well, with the iPad Air and Retina iPad Mini between them accounting for 57 percent of iPad sales despite the price premium over older models.

If you want to see how well specific analysts did in their estimates, keep Fortune‘s chart handy when Apple announces its numbers next Monday …


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4 Responses to “Analysts estimate Apple sold 55.3M iPhones last quarter, up 16 percent”

  1. mockery17 says:

    Waiting for that lunatic troll to come and say people who buy iPhones have low “knowledge of technology” and preach how his Galaxy Note 3 is miles ahead.


    • Almost inevitable. Don’t you like how the Android crowd loves to portray themselves at the under dog, when they have 50-70% of the market share?



    • Kroo Smith says:

      You would think that if Android users who were just so overjoyed with their device, wouldn’t find the need to seek out stories they don’t like on Apple user forums. A bit like trolling for fights outside a nightclub. Take that “special” kind of person.


  2. rwtd says:

    People who buy iPhones have low knowledge of technology, and my Note 3 is kilometers ahead! ;-)