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China has been fundamental to Apple’s historical success, but is also arguably the greatest risk to the company’s future.

Why are most Apple products made in China?

Although everyone assumes Apple products are made in China because labor is cheap there, that’s only part of the story – and an increasingly small part, as the company’s assembly partners move toward more and more automated operations.

Steve Jobs originally transferred most Apple manufacturing to China because it was the only country in the world with a huge ready-made supply-chain network, and the ability to scale up production almost overnight. There are three main reasons China – and specifically the Shenzhen area – is such a powerful manufacturing center.

First, the city is strategically placed, serving as the gateway between mainland China and Hong Kong. It is one of the largest shipping centers in the world, with a massive container port.

Second, the Chinese government established Shenzhen as the first Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in the country. SEZs are designed to encourage enterprise through relaxed planning regulations and generous tax incentives – and crucially, to facilitate foreign investment in local companies. It is this, as much as its geographical advantages, which has enabled it to grow at such a pace.

Third, that SEZ was established way back in 1980, meaning that the city has had over 40 years to grow into the manufacturing center of the tech world. Apple relies on a huge network of suppliers and sub-contractors, some of which may make just a single tiny component. The majority of them are based in Shenzhen and its immediate surrounds, so the logistics of bringing everything together in one place for assembly are straightforward.

What are the risk factors with China?

Being over-dependent on China carries a number of risks.

First, there is the generic one: Being overly dependent on any one country is a strategic risk. For example, the COVID-19 pandemic originated there, and had a massive impact on manufacturing capacity. Anything from a natural disaster to political upheaval could disrupt operations within a single country, so it is always wise to have a diverse range of manufacturing centers around the world.

Second, the relationship between the US and China has often been fraught. The trade war started by the previous US administration was a particularly low point, but continued tensions mean that there is always a risk of disruptions to trade between the two countries.

Third, it is increasingly damaging to Apple’s reputation to be so closely associated with a country that has a worsening human rights record – especially when the iPhone maker has no choice but to comply with local laws, however much they may conflict with the company’s own values. Apple has been required to remove VPN and a variety of other apps from the Chinese App Store, allow the iCloud data of Chinese customers to be stored on government-controlled servers, and more. Additionally, there have been growing reports of forced labor in China, including within many different areas of Apple’s supply chain.

What is Apple doing about it?

Apple has been working for a long time on diversifying its manufacturing operations, and has in recent years accelerated the pace at which it is doing so.

As explained above, this is far from an easy undertaking, but Apple now has major manufacturing operations in India, Thailand, Malaysia, and the Philippines, among other countries.

In India in particular, we are seeing the very early stages of a complete supply-chain infrastructure as the government uses a mix of carrot and stick to encourage companies to manufacture more of their components within the country – namely, tariffs on imports of components and tax breaks for local production. COVID-19 lockdowns in China also saw Apple move some iPad production to Vietnam for the first time, but it’s clear that the risks of over-dependence on China have never been greater.

Supply-chain sources corroborate KGI report of Face ID in all three 2018 iPhones

KGI said back in October of last year it was likely that Apple would bring Face ID to all three of this year’s new iPhone models, and this is supported by two new supply-chain reports today.

The reports says that Face ID is coming to the LCD iPhone as well as the flagship OLED ones, and that Apple is diversifying suppliers for the 3D face recognition modules needed for the feature …


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Censorship suggested as air quality data intermittently disappearing from Apple’s Weather app in China

Reddit thread has suggested that Apple’s Weather app is censoring air quality data in China when it reaches unhealthy or hazardous levels.

Since iOS 11.1 or maybe 11.2, I’ve noticed that Apple’s weather and Maps default apps will intermittently censor air quality data for users in China. All other weather information remains available, but the AQI rating disappears. Alarmingly, this seems to occur more often when the AQI reaches levels that are defined as Very Unhealthy, and Hazardous …


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PSA: How U.S. iCloud users can ensure their data isn’t migrated to (vulnerable?) Chinese servers

While Apple yesterday warned Chinese customers that their data would be migrated to local servers managed by a government-owned company from the end of February, TechCrunch reports that some U.S. customers are also being caught up in the migration.

After talking to a number of users, we found that Apple has included iCloud accounts that were opened in the U.S., are paid for using U.S. dollars and/or are connected to U.S.-based App Store accounts in the data that will be handled by local partner Guizhou-Cloud Big Data (GCBD) from February 28.

Apple’s terms & conditions for the transition provide an explanation for the apparent anomaly, while a support document offers a solution …


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iPhone X is accelerating both iPhone upgrade and Android switching rates in China, says Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley says that the iPhone X is proving such a hit in China that it is accelerating the rate at which existing iPhone owners upgrade, and the rate at which Android users switch to iPhone.

Analyst Katy Huberty also echoed an earlier report that the iPhone X rapidly overtook the iPhone 8, despite the head-start of the lower-cost phone …


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Pollution-monitoring app sees 196 Apple suppliers face action for violating environmental rules

An app which scrapes pollution data from government websites in China has resulted in 196 Apple suppliers facing action from the iPhone maker over breaches of its environmental rules. Some of those suppliers have been axed altogether.

The environmental activist behind the Blue Map app says that giving access to the data to companies like Apple and Wal-Mart has proved more effective than trying to get the government to take action …


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Cook responds to China criticisms, says he believes in freedom and is optimistic about future change

Apple CEO Tim Cook has hit back at suggestions that Apple is failing to fulfil a moral obligation to fight for freedom of expression in China.

The company had come under repeated fire from local customers and human rights groups for bowing to pressure from the Chinese government to remove or restrict App Store content in the country.

U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy said in an interview that ‘Apple […] must continue to push back on Chinese suppression of free expression’ …


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Comment: Apple is in a no-win position in its increasingly difficult relationship with China

Just today we heard the latest episode in Apple’s troubled relationship with the Chinese government: it has been required to remove Skype from the local App Store following a request from the Ministry of Public Security.

The stated reason was that the app ‘doesn’t comply with local law’ – which appears to be code for offering end-to-end encryption plus allowing users to open accounts without using their real name.

This is just the latest clampdown by the Chinese government on its own citizens, and is far from the first time that Apple has been placed in the position of doing something which directly contravenes the company’s own values …


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iPhone 8 sees Apple bounce back in China, sales up 40% after six quarters of decline

The iPhone 8 launch has seen Apple return to growth in China after six consecutive quarters of declining sales in the world’s most populous country. The report comes from Canalys, which says that iPhone sales grew by a dramatic 40% year-on-year.

The company says that Q3 sales, which include the iPhone 8, hits 11 million, up from 8M in the same quarter last year. However, warns the firm, that growth could be short-lived despite excitement about the iPhone X


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Lawyers say Qualcomm’s Chinese injunction attempt against the iPhone likely doomed to failure

The long, drawn-out legal fight between Apple and Qualcomm took a sharp turn last week when the chipmaker tried to get an injunction on iPhones being manufactured in China.

But while that might sound like big news, given that it would effectively halt most worldwide production of the device, lawyers in China say there are three reasons why there is little chance of Qualcomm succeeding …


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iPhone X and 8 face an uphill battle in China, say analysts, despite lucky number

Analysts and industry commenters believe that the iPhone X and iPhone 8 face a big challenge in China, the world’s largest smartphone market.

On the positive side, Chinese consumers respond particularly well to new designs which make a device stand out from earlier models, and eight is considered a lucky number in the country …


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Apple now supporting WeChat payments in Chinese App Store as Apple Pay struggles to gain traction

While Apple has been trying hard to push Apple Pay in China, offering a range of discounts and rewards, it doesn’t appear to have met with much success to date. Its market share in the country has been described by iResearch as ‘negligible.’

One big reason for that is the popularity of WeChat Pay, and Apple has now given in to the inevitable and started accepting the payment service for local App Store purchases …


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2018 iPhone growth variously predicted to be 9.1%, 13% or 23% on back of iPhone 8

While analysts can’t agree on numbers, all the latest predictions are for extremely strong iPhone growth in 2018 – with growth estimates ranging from 9.1% to 23%.

IDC is projecting 9.1% growth for iPhones in 2018, following 1.5% year-on year growth this year.

From there, things only get better for Apple as IDC anticipates the arrival of the iPhone 8 will spur a major upgrade cycle come 2018. Despite the new device launching later this year, IDC expects a majority of the shipments are likely to land early in 2018. IDC projects 9.1% growth in 2018 with the iPhone 8 and the new 7S/7S+ models playing a pivotal part in the near double-digit growth next year.

While IDC’s forecast is for the calendar year, analysts are focused on Apple’s fiscal year, which includes Q4 2017 with its iPhone 8 holiday quarter sales, leading to more optimistic projections …


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Chinese app developers reported Apple to antitrust regulators, alleging monopolistic behavior [U]

Update: CNBC reports that Chinese regulators are now examining the complaint. No formal investigation has been opened at this stage, however.

To be clear, the Chinese regulators are not formally investigating Apple over any breach of antitrust laws. Instead, the SAIC is only reviewing the complaint. Following their review, the regulators may choose to start an investigation.

Apple has been reported to Chinese antitrust regulators by a group of 28 app developers, accusing it of monopolistic behavior.

The WSJ reports that the developers make three specific complaints …


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‘Apple’s troubles in China have just started’ after it removed more than 400 VPN apps

Apple has come under considerable criticism following its decision to agree to a Chinese government request to remove VPN apps from its local App Store. Virtual private networks allow people in China to access sites blocked by the government, and to ensure that authorities cannot track the sites they visit.

App-tracking site ASO100.com says that the company has so far removed more than 400 VPN apps. But while Apple is trying to maintain good relationships with China by complying with such requests, analysts and tech commentators believe that its troubles with the country ‘have just started’ …


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iPhone 8 success depends on how well Apple responds to China challenges, say analysts

The success of the iPhone 8 largely depends on how well Apple responds to the challenges it faces in China, say analysts. China is the world’s largest smartphone market, and for iPhone sales is second only to Apple’s home market of the USA.

Those challenges are significant ones. Greater China – which includes Hong Kong and Taiwan – is the only market where Apple saw a sales decline in the first half of the year. Revenue was down 13%, twice the drop it experienced in the previous year. Market share is now below 10%, from its peak of 13%.

Apple’s biggest challenge in China can be summed-up in one word …


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